National League - North badgeNational League - North · 31 August 2026AI PICK

Buxton badgeBuxtonvsMerthyr Town badgeMerthyr Town

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Over 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
61.3%
Markets called
5 of 5 right
Final score
2 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.42

MediumEdge -9.1%
Our model61.3%
The market70.4%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Buxton badge

Buxton

Attack52
Defence53
Form54
Merthyr Town badge

Merthyr Town

Attack72
Defence55
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model84.8%
The market86.2%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.16

Draw No Bet

Buxton (DNB)

Correct
Our model67.9%
The market73.0%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.37

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model61.3%
The market70.4%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.42

Match Winner

Buxton Win

Correct
Our model57.6%
The market62.1%
Edge
-4.5
Odds
1.61

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.5%
The market67.1%
Edge
-14.6
Odds
1.49

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.58

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

10.8%

2-1

7.2% · actual

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.