CA River Platevs
Paysandu
1 - 0Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.3%
- Market said
- 46.5%
- Edge
- +11.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.15
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectCA River Plate Win
Match Winner · best price 2.15
The market underrated this by 11.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
CA River Plate
Paysandu
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Match Winner
CA River Plate Win
- Edge
- +11.8
- Odds
- 2.15
Draw No Bet
CA River Plate (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -8.7
- Odds
- 1.85
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 6.81
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
16.9% · actual
0-1
14.2%
0-0
11.5%
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.