Cacereñovs
CF Talavera
1 - 2Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.0%
- Market said
- 24.4%
- Edge
- +38.6 pts
- Best odds
- 4.10
The call, locked before kick-off
MissCacereño Win
Match Winner · best price 4.10
The market underrated this by 38.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Cacereño
CF Talavera
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Match Winner
Cacereño Win
- Edge
- +38.6
- Odds
- 4.10
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 1.65
Draw No Bet
Cacereño (DNB)
- Edge
- +1.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.3
- Odds
- 2.20
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.9
- Odds
- 7.71
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
14.9%
2-0
10.5%
1-1
10.0%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.