Primera División RFEF - Group 1 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Cacereño badgeCacereñovsMirandes badgeMirandes

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
56.8%
Edge
+4.5 pts
Best odds
1.76

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.76

MediumEdge +4.5%
Our model61.3%
The market56.8%

The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model76.6%
The market79.4%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
1.26

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.5%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market56.8%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
1.76

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market50.8%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.97

Draw No Bet

Mirandes (DNB)

Miss
Our model51.6%
The market52.9%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
1.89

Match Winner

Mirandes Win

Miss
Our model39.5%
The market42.4%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
2.36

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model13.9%
The market16.0%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
6.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.9% · actual

1-1

14.0%

0-0

12.7%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.