Cadizvs
Valladolid
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 43.4%
- Edge
- +17.9 pts
- Best odds
- 2.23
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.23
The market underrated this by 17.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Cadiz
Valladolid
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -9.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +17.9
- Odds
- 2.23
Draw No Bet
Cadiz (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.0
- Odds
- 1.63
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 1.87
Match Winner
Cadiz Win
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 2.26
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.16
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.6%
1-1
11.4% · actual
1-2
8.1%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.