Ligue 3 badgeLigue 3 · 20 August 2026AI PICK

Caen badgeCaenvsAubagne badgeAubagne

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
57.2%
Edge
+1.2 pts
Best odds
1.68

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.68

MediumEdge +1.2%
Our model58.4%
The market57.2%

The market underrated this by 1.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Caen badge

Caen

Attack100
Defence32
Form62
Aubagne badge

Aubagne

Attack32
Defence30
Form8

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model86.2%
The market85.5%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.17

Draw No Bet

Caen (DNB)

Edge +9.4%Correct
Our model80.3%
The market70.9%
Edge
+9.4
Odds
1.41

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.2%Miss
Our model58.4%
The market57.2%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
1.68

Match Winner

Caen Win

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market58.5%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
1.71

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.8%
The market58.7%
Edge
-4.9
Odds
1.64

Correct Score

Score: 3-0

Miss
Our model10.5%
The market12.0%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.31

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

3-0

10.5%

2-0

9.5%

4-0

8.6%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.