Ligue 3 badgeLigue 3 · 27 August 2026AI PICK

Caen badgeCaenvsBastia badgeBastia

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.8%
Market said
53.5%
Edge
+9.3 pts
Best odds
1.87

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.87

MediumEdge +9.3%
Our model62.8%
The market53.5%

The market underrated this by 9.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Caen badge

Caen

Attack100
Defence37
Form67
Bastia badge

Bastia

Attack59
Defence27
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model79.8%
The market76.9%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

Caen (DNB)

Edge +15.7%Miss
Our model73.8%
The market58.1%
Edge
+15.7
Odds
1.72

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.3%Miss
Our model62.8%
The market53.5%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
1.87

Match Winner

Caen Win

Edge +10.7%Miss
Our model57.0%
The market46.3%
Edge
+10.7
Odds
2.16

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.9%
The market59.5%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
1.68

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.0%
The market9.2%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.0%

3-1

8.0%

1-1

6.0%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.