Caenvs
Bastia
0 - 1Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.8%
- Market said
- 53.5%
- Edge
- +9.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.87
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.87
The market underrated this by 9.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Caen
Bastia
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 1.30
Draw No Bet
Caen (DNB)
- Edge
- +15.7
- Odds
- 1.72
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.3
- Odds
- 1.87
Match Winner
Caen Win
- Edge
- +10.7
- Odds
- 2.16
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.6
- Odds
- 1.68
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.86
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.0%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
6.0%
We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.