Caenvs
Valenciennes
4 - 0Correct
Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.7%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +8.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
MediumEdge +8.1%
Our model60.7%
The market52.6%
The market underrated this by 8.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model73.5%
The market75.2%
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model60.7%
The market52.6%
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.90
Draw No Bet
Caen (DNB)
Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Miss
Our model53.8%
The market55.6%
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
Caen Win
Edge +8.5%Correct
Our model52.9%
The market44.4%
- Edge
- +8.5
- Odds
- 2.25
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.