Cagliarivs
Hellas Verona
1 - 2Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 49.5%
- Edge
- +11.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.02
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.02
The market underrated this by 11.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +14.2
- Odds
- 1.32
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.7
- Odds
- 2.02
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- 0.0
- Odds
- 1.83
Draw No Bet
Cagliari (DNB)
- Edge
- -13.6
- Odds
- 1.51
Match Winner
Cagliari Win
- Edge
- -2.2
- Odds
- 2.02
Correct Score
Score: 0-2
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.55
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-2
10.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-2
9.2% · actual
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.