Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Caldas badgeCaldasvsSC Covilha badgeSC Covilha

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.1%
Market said
64.5%
Edge
+8.6 pts
Best odds
1.55

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.55

High confidenceEdge +8.6%
Our model73.1%
The market64.5%

The market underrated this by 8.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Caldas badge

Caldas

Attack36
Defence38
Form36
SC Covilha badge

SC Covilha

Attack42
Defence40
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.2%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market75.8%
Edge
+9.2
Odds
1.32

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.6%Correct
Our model73.1%
The market64.5%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
1.55

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +6.3%Miss
Our model61.5%
The market55.2%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.81

Draw No Bet

Caldas (DNB)

Void
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Caldas Win

Miss
Our model45.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-4.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.