Caldasvs
SC Covilha
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.1%
- Market said
- 64.5%
- Edge
- +8.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.55
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.55
The market underrated this by 8.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Caldas
SC Covilha
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.2
- Odds
- 1.32
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.6
- Odds
- 1.55
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +6.3
- Odds
- 1.81
Draw No Bet
Caldas (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Caldas Win
- Edge
- -4.6
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.