Serie D - Girone B badgeSerie D - Girone B · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Caldiero Terme badgeCaldiero TermevsVaresina badgeVaresina

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.5%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+5.4 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +5.4%
Our model59.5%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 5.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Caldiero Terme badge

Caldiero Terme

Attack70
Defence44
Form40
Varesina badge

Varesina

Attack46
Defence58
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.4%Correct
Our model59.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Caldiero Terme (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Void
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.7%Correct
Our model57.3%
The market52.6%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Caldiero Terme Win

Miss
Our model48.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.