Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A badgeCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · 18 April 2026AI PICK

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1 - 2
Close

Full time · 2 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+2.4 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +2.4%
Our model62.3%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 2.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

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Camacha

Attack38
Defence75
Form44
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Celoricense

Attack33
Defence100
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.4%Close
Our model62.3%
The market59.9%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

Camacha (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model47.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
-6.2
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Camacha Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
-7.7
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.