Liga de Expansión MX · 2 August 2026AI PICK
Cancúnvs
Leones Negros UDG
0 - 2Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 70.4%
- Market said
- 52.1%
- Edge
- +18.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 18.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Cancún
Leones Negros UDG
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +20.2
- Odds
- 1.83
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +18.3
- Odds
- 1.85
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +7.4
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Leones Negros UDG (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Leones Negros UDG Win
- Edge
- +16.6
- Odds
- 3.70
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -2.5
- Odds
- 5.33
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
16.3%
0-0
16.6%
1-1
14.2%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.