Serie D · 27 June 2026AI PICK
Capital Brasiliavs
Aparecidense
4 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.1%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +7.1 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 1.28
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +7.1
- Odds
- 2.00
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.9
- Odds
- 2.15
Match Winner
Capital Brasilia Win
- Edge
- -6.9
- Odds
- 1.80
Draw No Bet
Capital Brasilia (DNB)
- Edge
- -18.4
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 11.93
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
9.6%
1-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.