Serie D badgeSerie D · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Capital Brasilia badgeCapital BrasiliavsCeilândia badgeCeilândia

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
61.1%
Markets called
4 of 5 right, 1 close
Final score
2 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge -2.6%
Our model61.1%
The market63.7%

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Capital Brasilia badge

Capital Brasilia

Attack48
Defence52
Form50
Ceilândia badge

Ceilândia

Attack55
Defence49
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model61.1%
The market63.7%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.5%Correct
Our model55.0%
The market45.5%
Edge
+9.5
Odds
2.20

Draw No Bet

Capital Brasilia (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Capital Brasilia Win

Correct
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.8%
The market11.2%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
8.95

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.8%

1-0

12.8%

1-1

11.1%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.