Serie D badgeSerie D · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Capital Brasilia badgeCapital BrasiliavsGoiatuba EC badgeGoiatuba EC

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.2%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+10.2 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Capital Brasilia Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +10.2%
Our model60.2%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 10.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Capital Brasilia badge

Capital Brasilia

Attack61
Defence55
Form52
Goiatuba EC badge

Goiatuba EC

Attack47
Defence35
Form37

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Match Winner

Capital Brasilia Win

Edge +10.2%Miss
Our model60.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+10.2
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.1%Miss
Our model57.5%
The market44.4%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
2.25

Draw No Bet

Capital Brasilia (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.5%Miss
Our model50.5%
The market42.0%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
2.38

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.