Primera División badgePrimera División · 13 May 2026AI PICK

Carabobo FC badgeCarabobo FCvsEstudiantes de Merida FC badgeEstudiantes de Merida FC

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.4%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+13.3 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +13.3%
Our model67.4%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 13.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Carabobo FC badge

Carabobo FC

Attack68
Defence55
Form45
Estudiantes de Merida FC badge

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Attack65
Defence46
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.3%Miss
Our model67.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+13.3
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.0%Miss
Our model65.6%
The market54.6%
Edge
+11.0
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Carabobo FC Win

Correct
Our model56.9%
The market67.6%
Edge
-10.7
Odds
1.48

Draw No Bet

Carabobo FC (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.7%
The market7.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.19

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

7.8%

1-2

7.3%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.