Primera División badgePrimera División · 7 September 2026AI PICK

Carabobo FC badgeCarabobo FCvsEstudiantes de Merida FC badgeEstudiantes de Merida FC

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
53.8%
Edge
+0.8 pts
Best odds
1.86

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.86

LowEdge +0.8%
Our model54.6%
The market53.8%

The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Carabobo FC badge

Carabobo FC

Attack54
Defence65
Form53
Estudiantes de Merida FC badge

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Attack34
Defence49
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model80.3%
The market91.7%
Edge
-11.4
Odds
1.09

Draw No Bet

Carabobo FC (DNB)

Correct
Our model72.4%
The market77.5%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.29

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market53.8%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.86

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model54.6%
The market54.9%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.82

Match Winner

Carabobo FC Win

Correct
Our model51.8%
The market64.9%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.54

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model12.0%
The market13.8%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.23

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.0% · actual

1-1

13.9%

0-0

10.7%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.