Carabobo FCvs
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1 - 0Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.6%
- Market said
- 53.8%
- Edge
- +0.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.86
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.86
The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -11.4
- Odds
- 1.09
Draw No Bet
Carabobo FC (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.29
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.86
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.82
Match Winner
Carabobo FC Win
- Edge
- -13.1
- Odds
- 1.54
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 7.23
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
12.0% · actual
1-1
13.9%
0-0
10.7%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.