Primera División badgePrimera División · 21 August 2026AI PICK

Caracas FC badgeCaracas FCvsCarabobo FC badgeCarabobo FC

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+1.4 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

LowEdge +1.4%
Our model53.8%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 1.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Caracas FC badge

Caracas FC

Attack48
Defence36
Form38
Carabobo FC badge

Carabobo FC

Attack53
Defence79
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model73.9%
The market82.0%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.22

Draw No Bet

Carabobo FC (DNB)

Void
Our model57.2%
The market70.4%
Edge
-13.2
Odds
1.42

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.4%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market52.4%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.7%
The market60.6%
Edge
-6.9
Odds
1.65

Match Winner

Carabobo FC Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market52.6%
Edge
-10.3
Odds
1.90

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Our model8.2%
The market9.4%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.65

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.2%

1-1

14.2% · actual

0-0

9.1%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.