Primera División badgePrimera División · 3 August 2026AI PICK

Caracas FC badgeCaracas FCvsEstudiantes de Merida FC badgeEstudiantes de Merida FC

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
53.8%
Markets called
2 of 4 right
Final score
2 - 2

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

LowEdge -6.1%
Our model53.8%
The market59.9%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Caracas FC badge

Caracas FC

Attack54
Defence43
Form48
Estudiantes de Merida FC badge

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Attack40
Defence49
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market80.0%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model53.8%
The market59.9%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

Caracas FC (DNB)

Void
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market52.4%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Caracas FC Win

Miss
Our model43.3%
The market51.3%
Edge
-8.0
Odds
1.95

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model10.7%
The market12.3%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.11

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.7%

1-1

13.9%

0-0

9.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.