CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 31 July 2026AI PICK

Caracas FC badgeCaracas FCvsSanta Fe badgeSanta Fe

0 - 3
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
41.9%
Edge
+15.5 pts
Best odds
2.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.40

MediumEdge +15.5%
Our model57.4%
The market41.9%

The market underrated this by 15.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Caracas FC badge

Caracas FC

Attack57
Defence36
Form43
Santa Fe badge

Santa Fe

Attack80
Defence63
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market76.9%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.5%Correct
Our model57.4%
The market41.9%
Edge
+15.5
Odds
2.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.4%Miss
Our model57.2%
The market48.8%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
2.10

Draw No Bet

Santa Fe (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Santa Fe Win

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model43.6%
The market42.6%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
2.35

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.4%

1-1

11.1%

2-1

6.9%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.