League Cup badgeLeague Cup · 25 August 2026AI PICK

Cardiff badgeCardiffvsNorwich badgeNorwich

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.0%
Market said
50.9%
Edge
+9.1 pts
Best odds
1.92

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.92

MediumEdge +9.1%
Our model60.0%
The market50.9%

The market underrated this by 9.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Cardiff badge

Cardiff

Attack100
Defence38
Form72
Norwich badge

Norwich

Attack48
Defence100
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +4.6%
Our model80.9%
The market76.3%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
1.31

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.1%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market50.9%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
1.92

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
1.69

Draw No Bet

Norwich (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.1%
The market55.2%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.81

Match Winner

Norwich Win

Correct
Our model40.5%
The market42.7%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
2.34

Correct Score

Score: 3-1

Miss
Our model8.0%
The market9.2%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

3-1

8.0%

4-1

7.0%

2-1

6.8%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.