Cardiffvs
Stoke City
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.9%
- Market said
- 47.8%
- Edge
- +13.1 pts
- Best odds
- 2.09
The call, locked before kick-off
MissCardiff Win
Match Winner · best price 2.09
The market underrated this by 13.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Cardiff
Stoke City
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +10.3
- Odds
- 1.33
Draw No Bet
Cardiff (DNB)
- Edge
- +20.9
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Cardiff Win
- Edge
- +13.1
- Odds
- 2.09
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -4.3
- Odds
- 1.59
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -11.5
- Odds
- 1.50
Correct Score
Score: 2-0
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.67
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-0
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
8.4%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.