Championship badgeChampionship · 8 September 2026AI PICK

Cardiff badgeCardiffvsStoke City badgeStoke City

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.9%
Market said
47.8%
Edge
+13.1 pts
Best odds
2.09

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Cardiff Win

Match Winner · best price 2.09

MediumEdge +13.1%
Our model60.9%
The market47.8%

The market underrated this by 13.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Cardiff badge

Cardiff

Attack85
Defence37
Form50
Stoke City badge

Stoke City

Attack34
Defence55
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +10.3%Correct
Our model85.5%
The market75.2%
Edge
+10.3
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Cardiff (DNB)

Edge +20.9%Void
Our model80.8%
The market59.9%
Edge
+20.9
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Cardiff Win

Edge +13.1%Miss
Our model60.9%
The market47.8%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
2.09

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model58.6%
The market62.9%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.59

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model55.2%
The market66.7%
Edge
-11.5
Odds
1.50

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model9.0%
The market10.3%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

9.0%

2-1

9.0%

3-0

8.4%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.