Championship badgeChampionship · 17 August 2026AI PICK

Cardiff badgeCardiffvsWrexham badgeWrexham

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
82.7%
Market said
42.6%
Edge
+40.1 pts
Best odds
2.35

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Cardiff Win

Match Winner · best price 2.35

High confidenceEdge +40.1%
Our model82.7%
The market42.6%

The market underrated this by 40.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +19.1%Correct
Our model88.5%
The market69.4%
Edge
+19.1
Odds
1.44

Match Winner

Cardiff Win

Edge +40.1%Miss
Our model82.7%
The market42.6%
Edge
+40.1
Odds
2.35

Draw No Bet

Cardiff (DNB)

Edge +7.6%Void
Our model64.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.0%Close
Our model58.4%
The market55.4%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.73

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +11.2%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market43.0%
Edge
+11.2
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 4-0

Miss
Our model16.3%
The market18.7%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
5.34

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

4-0

16.3%

3-0

16.3%

5-0

13.0%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.