Carlislevs
AFC Hornchurch
4 - 1Correct
Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 58.4%
- Markets called
- 5 of 5 right
- Final score
- 4 - 1
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62
MediumEdge -1.0%
Our model58.4%
The market59.4%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Carlisle
Attack67
Defence47
Form47
AFC Hornchurch
Attack67
Defence82
Form70
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model77.7%
The market86.2%
- Edge
- -8.5
- Odds
- 1.16
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model58.4%
The market59.4%
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 1.62
Draw No Bet
Carlisle (DNB)
Correct
Our model54.4%
The market77.5%
- Edge
- -23.1
- Odds
- 1.29
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model54.2%
The market58.6%
- Edge
- -4.4
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Carlisle Win
Correct
Our model42.3%
The market58.8%
- Edge
- -16.5
- Odds
- 1.70
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.