National League badgeNational League · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Carlisle badgeCarlislevsBoreham Wood badgeBoreham Wood

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
83.4%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+18.0 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +18.0%
Our model83.4%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 18.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Carlisle badge

Carlisle

Attack73
Defence79
Form73
Boreham Wood badge

Boreham Wood

Attack84
Defence50
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.0%Correct
Our model83.4%
The market65.4%
Edge
+18.0
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model73.1%
The market69.4%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Carlisle (DNB)

Miss
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Carlisle Win

Miss
Our model44.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.