Segunda División · 24 May 2026AI PICK

Carlos A. MannuccivsMolinos El Pirata

1 - 0

Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 58.2%
Market said: 54.1%
Edge: +4.1 pts
Best odds: 1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +4.1%

Our model58.2%

The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 4.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Carlos A. Mannucci

Attack52

Defence40

Form44

Molinos El Pirata

Attack86

Defence57

Form72

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market82.0%

Edge: +3.0
Odds: 1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.1%Miss

Our model58.2%

The market54.1%

Edge: +4.1
Odds: 1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.6%Miss

Our model52.9%

The market51.3%

Edge: +1.6
Odds: 1.95

Draw No Bet

Carlos A. Mannucci (DNB)

Our model43.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -14.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Carlos A. Mannucci Win

Our model35.6%

The market58.8%

Edge: -23.2
Odds: 1.70

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.5%

Our model12.0%

The market10.5%

Edge: +1.5
Odds: 9.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.0%

1-1

9.7%

1-2

9.7%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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