Serie B badgeSerie B · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Carrarese badgeCarraresevsEmpoli badgeEmpoli

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
58.5%
Edge
+0.1 pts
Best odds
1.71

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.71

MediumEdge +0.1%
Our model58.6%
The market58.5%

The market underrated this by 0.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Carrarese badge

Carrarese

Attack23
Defence55
Form27
Empoli badge

Empoli

Attack38
Defence66
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model68.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model58.6%
The market58.5%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.71

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market52.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.92

Draw No Bet

Carrarese (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
-0.6
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Carrarese Win

Miss
Our model39.1%
The market41.5%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
2.41

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Correct
Our model16.6%
The market19.1%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.24

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.6% · actual

0-0

19.9%

1-1

14.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.