Carraresevs
Mantova
1 - 2Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.4%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +8.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 8.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +4.1
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.4
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +2.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Carrarese (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.81
Match Winner
Carrarese Win
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 2.41
Correct Score
Score: 0-3
- Edge
- -2.3
- Odds
- 5.66
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-3
15.4%
0-4
13.8%
0-2
12.8%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.