Primeira Liga · 16 May 2026AI PICK
Casa Piavs
Rio Ave
1 - 1Full time · 0 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.7%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +11.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 11.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 2 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.3
- Odds
- 1.27
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +11.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Casa Pia (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Casa Pia Win
- Edge
- -10.0
- Odds
- 1.62
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 6.21
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
18.5%
0-1
15.2%
0-0
14.5%
We called 0 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.