Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 28 May 2026AI PICK

Casa Pia badgeCasa PiavsTorreense badgeTorreense

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.4%
Market said
63.3%
Edge
+7.1 pts
Best odds
1.58

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.58

High confidenceEdge +7.1%
Our model70.4%
The market63.3%

The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Casa Pia badge

Casa Pia

Attack22
Defence56
Form29
Torreense badge

Torreense

Attack52
Defence100
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +10.9%
Our model85.0%
The market74.1%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
1.35

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.1%Correct
Our model70.4%
The market63.3%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.58

Draw No Bet

Torreense (DNB)

Miss
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model44.6%
The market51.5%
Edge
-6.9
Odds
1.94

Match Winner

Torreense Win

Edge +7.8%Miss
Our model38.7%
The market30.9%
Edge
+7.8
Odds
3.24

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.9%
The market16.5%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.07

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

18.9%

0-2

12.0%

0-0

10.4%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.