Serie D - Girone F badgeSerie D - Girone F · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Castelfidardo Calcio badgeCastelfidardo CalciovsSora badgeSora

0 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.6%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+7.0 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +7.0%
Our model59.6%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 7.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Castelfidardo Calcio badge

Castelfidardo Calcio

Attack45
Defence38
Form33
Sora badge

Sora

Attack43
Defence43
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.0%Correct
Our model59.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Castelfidardo Calcio (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Castelfidardo Calcio Win

Miss
Our model44.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.