Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Castellón badgeCastellónvsAlbacete badgeAlbacete

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
48.3%
Edge
+6.3 pts
Best odds
1.97

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.97

LowEdge +6.3%
Our model54.6%
The market48.3%

The market underrated this by 6.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Castellón badge

Castellón

Attack59
Defence43
Form58
Albacete badge

Albacete

Attack38
Defence48
Form30

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model79.8%
The market86.2%
Edge
-6.4
Odds
1.16

Draw No Bet

Castellón (DNB)

Correct
Our model71.9%
The market76.9%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +6.3%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market48.3%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.97

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.8%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market45.8%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Castellón Win

Correct
Our model51.8%
The market61.3%
Edge
-9.5
Odds
1.63

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Close
Our model12.0%
The market13.8%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.23

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.0%

1-1

13.9%

0-0

10.7%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.