Catanzarovs
Avellino
3 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.1%
- Market said
- 50.8%
- Edge
- +12.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.97
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.97
The market underrated this by 12.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Catanzaro
Avellino
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +10.9
- Odds
- 1.35
Draw No Bet
Catanzaro (DNB)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.3
- Odds
- 1.97
Match Winner
Catanzaro Win
- Edge
- +10.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.5
- Odds
- 1.74
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.79
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.