Serie B · 17 May 2026AI PICK
Catanzarovs
Palermo
3 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 76.3%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +18.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 18.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Catanzaro
Palermo
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +18.5
- Odds
- 1.73
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +7.3
- Odds
- 1.62
Draw No Bet
Catanzaro (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Catanzaro Win
- Edge
- +21.1
- Odds
- 3.10
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.0
- Odds
- 14.17
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.