Premier League badgePremier League · 11 May 2026AI PICK

Cavalier badgeCavaliervsWaterhouse badgeWaterhouse

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+19.9 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +19.9%
Our model67.5%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 19.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cavalier badge

Cavalier

Attack58
Defence66
Form62
Waterhouse badge

Waterhouse

Attack69
Defence75
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.9%Correct
Our model67.5%
The market47.6%
Edge
+19.9
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.7%Correct
Our model65.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
+11.7
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Cavalier Win

Edge +0.7%Miss
Our model50.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Cavalier (DNB)

Void
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.3%
The market7.2%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.3%

1-1

7.9%

2-1

7.9%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.