Serie C badgeSerie C · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Caxias badgeCaxiasvsFigueirense badgeFigueirense

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
57.8%
Markets called
0 of 5 right, 1 close
Final score
1 - 2

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

MediumEdge -7.6%
Our model57.8%
The market65.4%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Caxias badge

Caxias

Attack50
Defence85
Form56
Figueirense badge

Figueirense

Attack41
Defence45
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model72.1%
The market85.5%
Edge
-13.4
Odds
1.17

Draw No Bet

Caxias (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model57.8%
The market65.4%
Edge
-7.6
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model52.8%
The market63.7%
Edge
-10.9
Odds
1.57

Match Winner

Caxias Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market55.6%
Edge
-13.3
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model13.0%
The market14.9%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.0%

1-1

14.9%

0-0

14.0%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.