Serie C · 30 May 2026AI PICK
Caxiasvs
Ituano
2 - 1Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.0%
- Market said
- 63.7%
- Edge
- +5.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.57
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57
The market underrated this by 5.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Caxias
Ituano
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.3
- Odds
- 1.57
Match Winner
Caxias Win
- Edge
- 0.0
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.3
- Odds
- 2.10
Draw No Bet
Caxias (DNB)
- Edge
- -13.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.9
- Odds
- 7.87
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
14.6%
1-0
11.0%
1-1
10.8%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.