Serie C · 17 May 2026AI PICK
Caxiasvs
Paysandu
2 - 0Full time · 0 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.3%
- Market said
- 40.0%
- Edge
- +19.3 pts
- Best odds
- 2.50
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.50
The market underrated this by 19.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Caxias
Paysandu
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 2 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +19.3
- Odds
- 2.50
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +13.3
- Odds
- 2.20
Draw No Bet
Paysandu (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Paysandu Win
- Edge
- +4.7
- Odds
- 3.10
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 10.57
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
10.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
We called 0 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.