Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 23 August 2026AI PICK

CDS Tampico Madero badgeCDS Tampico MaderovsAlebrijes de Oaxaca badgeAlebrijes de Oaxaca

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+7.1 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +7.1%
Our model58.4%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

CDS Tampico Madero badge

CDS Tampico Madero

Attack27
Defence59
Form39
Alebrijes de Oaxaca badge

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Attack24
Defence62
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model82.2%
The market85.5%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
1.17

Draw No Bet

CDS Tampico Madero (DNB)

Edge +2.4%Correct
Our model75.9%
The market73.5%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.1%Close
Our model58.4%
The market51.3%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

CDS Tampico Madero Win

Correct
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +2.5%Miss
Our model52.7%
The market50.2%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
2.07

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model14.7%
The market16.9%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
5.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.7%

2-0

7.4%

2-1

5.9% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.