Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 9 August 2026AI PICK

CDS Tampico Madero badgeCDS Tampico MaderovsCruz Azul Hidalgo badgeCruz Azul Hidalgo

3 - 0
Close

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.7%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+3.1 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +3.1%
Our model55.7%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 3.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

CDS Tampico Madero badge

CDS Tampico Madero

Attack19
Defence65
Form33
Cruz Azul Hidalgo badge

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +2.1%Miss
Our model73.5%
The market71.4%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Cruz Azul Hidalgo (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Miss
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.1%Close
Our model55.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Cruz Azul Hidalgo Win

Miss
Our model43.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
-6.7
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model18.3%
The market21.1%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
4.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

18.3%

0-0

18.1%

1-1

13.5%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.