Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 10 May 2026AI PICK

CDS Tampico Madero badgeCDS Tampico MaderovsTepatitlán badgeTepatitlán

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+4.2 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +4.2%
Our model61.3%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 4.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

CDS Tampico Madero badge

CDS Tampico Madero

Attack45
Defence85
Form62
Tepatitlán badge

Tepatitlán

Attack47
Defence85
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +7.5%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market77.5%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
1.29

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.2%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.8%Miss
Our model60.4%
The market55.6%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

CDS Tampico Madero Win

Edge +5.6%Miss
Our model55.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

CDS Tampico Madero (DNB)

Void
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.0%
The market8.7%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.0%

1-1

9.8%

0-1

9.4%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.