Serie B badgeSerie B · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Ceara badgeCearavsSport Recife badgeSport Recife

2 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
52.0%
Edge
+2.6 pts
Best odds
1.86

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.86

LowEdge +2.6%
Our model54.6%
The market52.0%

The market underrated this by 2.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ceara badge

Ceara

Attack41
Defence41
Form33
Sport Recife badge

Sport Recife

Attack58
Defence50
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model75.6%
The market75.8%
Edge
-0.2
Odds
1.32

Draw No Bet

Ceara (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.3%
The market59.5%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
1.68

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market52.0%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.86

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model54.6%
The market57.2%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Ceara Win

Correct
Our model42.6%
The market44.8%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
2.23

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model8.3%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.43

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

8.3%

2-1

6.5% · actual

2-0

5.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.