Cearavs
Sport Recife
2 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.6%
- Market said
- 52.0%
- Edge
- +2.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.86
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.86
The market underrated this by 2.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Ceara
Sport Recife
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -0.2
- Odds
- 1.32
Draw No Bet
Ceara (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.2
- Odds
- 1.68
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 1.86
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Ceara Win
- Edge
- -2.2
- Odds
- 2.23
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.43
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.5% · actual
2-0
5.0%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.