Serie D badgeSerie D · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Ceilândia badgeCeilândiavsCapital Brasilia badgeCapital Brasilia

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+7.2 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +7.2%
Our model61.3%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 7.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ceilândia badge

Ceilândia

Attack60
Defence52
Form50
Capital Brasilia badge

Capital Brasilia

Attack60
Defence56
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.2%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model57.5%
The market52.6%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Ceilândia (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Ceilândia Win

Miss
Our model46.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-4.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.