Serie D badgeSerie D · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Ceilândia badgeCeilândiavsCEOV Operário badgeCEOV Operário

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.7%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+11.7 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Ceilândia Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +11.7%
Our model61.7%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 11.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ceilândia badge

Ceilândia

Attack63
Defence53
Form55
CEOV Operário badge

CEOV Operário

Attack44
Defence41
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Ceilândia Win

Edge +11.7%Miss
Our model61.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+11.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Ceilândia (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Miss
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model51.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%
Our model13.7%
The market11.9%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.7%

1-1

10.1%

2-0

9.5%

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.