Serie D badgeSerie D · 30 May 2026AI PICK

Ceilândia badgeCeilândiavsGoiatuba EC badgeGoiatuba EC

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.3%
Market said
51.5%
Edge
+5.8 pts
Best odds
1.94

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.94

MediumEdge +5.8%
Our model57.3%
The market51.5%

The market underrated this by 5.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ceilândia badge

Ceilândia

Attack54
Defence42
Form41
Goiatuba EC badge

Goiatuba EC

Attack56
Defence50
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +10.4%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market74.6%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
1.34

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.8%Correct
Our model57.3%
The market51.5%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
1.94

Draw No Bet

Ceilândia (DNB)

Void
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Ceilândia Win

Miss
Our model42.6%
The market43.7%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
2.29

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.5%
Our model11.5%
The market10.0%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
9.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.5%

1-0

11.5%

1-1

10.7% · actual

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.