Serie D badgeSerie D · 20 June 2026AI PICK

Ceilândia badgeCeilândiavsLuverdense badgeLuverdense

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
54.5%
Markets called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Final score
1 - 2

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

LowEdge -10.9%
Our model54.5%
The market65.4%

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ceilândia badge

Ceilândia

Attack55
Defence51
Form45
Luverdense badge

Luverdense

Attack46
Defence76
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Ceilândia (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model54.5%
The market65.4%
Edge
-10.9
Odds
1.53

Match Winner

Ceilândia Win

Edge +14.0%Miss
Our model45.2%
The market31.3%
Edge
+14.0
Odds
3.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model44.2%
The market59.9%
Edge
-15.7
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%
Our model13.4%
The market11.6%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.59

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.4%

0-1

10.9%

1-1

10.7%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.