Serie D - Girone A badgeSerie D - Girone A · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Celle Varazze badgeCelle VarazzevsSestri Levante badgeSestri Levante

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.1%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+8.0 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +8.0%
Our model62.1%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 8.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Celle Varazze badge

Celle Varazze

Attack53
Defence41
Form44
Sestri Levante badge

Sestri Levante

Attack70
Defence60
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.0%Miss
Our model62.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.0%Miss
Our model59.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Celle Varazze Win

Edge +0.6%Correct
Our model50.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Celle Varazze (DNB)

Correct
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.