Primera División RFEF - Play Offs badgePrimera División RFEF - Play Offs · 20 June 2026AI PICK

Celta de Vigo II badgeCelta de Vigo IIvsPonferradina badgePonferradina

4 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.5%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+9.9 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +9.9%
Our model57.5%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Celta de Vigo II badge

Celta de Vigo II

Attack48
Defence58
Form43
Ponferradina badge

Ponferradina

Attack36
Defence100
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.9%Correct
Our model57.5%
The market47.6%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
2.10

Draw No Bet

Celta de Vigo II (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.5%Correct
Our model50.5%
The market42.0%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
2.38

Match Winner

Celta de Vigo II Win

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model50.5%
The market47.6%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.5%

1-1

10.1%

2-1

9.5%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.