Primera División badgePrimera División · 2 August 2026AI PICK

Central Espanol badgeCentral EspanolvsLiverpool Montevideo badgeLiverpool Montevideo

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
42.4%
Edge
+13.1 pts
Best odds
2.36

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.36

MediumEdge +13.1%
Our model55.5%
The market42.4%

The market underrated this by 13.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Central Espanol badge

Central Espanol

Attack59
Defence41
Form52
Liverpool Montevideo badge

Liverpool Montevideo

Attack47
Defence46
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model73.0%
The market64.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.54

Draw No Bet

Central Espanol (DNB)

Void
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.1%Miss
Our model55.5%
The market42.4%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
2.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market51.3%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Central Espanol Win

Edge +11.4%Miss
Our model43.3%
The market31.9%
Edge
+11.4
Odds
3.13

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.5%

1-1

13.4%

1-0

9.2%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.